Liberty Street Economics

« | Main | »

July 13, 2012

Historical Echoes: Whip Inflation Now … and Then

Amy Farber, New York Fed Research Library

WIN

In October 1974, with consumer inflation running at more than 10 percent annually, President Gerald Ford gave a now famous speech (watch video or read text) in which he proclaimed: “There is only one point on which all advisers have agreed: We must whip inflation right now.”


    “Whip Inflation Now” was not just a speech—it was a public relations campaign to enlist American citizens to hold back the increases in wages and prices of the 1970s, supposedly by increasing personal savings and taming spending habits. The symbol of the campaign was the large round red button with bold, white uppercase letters: W I N.

    According to the American Presidents blog, “The campaign did not work as President Ford had hoped. Inflation remained a threat to the economy well into the Reagan presidency … the pins were widely mocked and it gave Ford’s opponents an easy target for criticism.” In fact, by the late 1970s inflation got a lot worse, as the “Inflation” section of PBS’s “The First Measured Century” explains.

    Macroblog has posted a discussion about WIN in Was WIN a Loser? in which Dave Altig debates whether the campaign really was a failure. Part one of the blog post points to the need, when discussing WIN, to distinguish between inflation and increases in the relative cost of living. Part two is a partial defense of Ford and his then-Chairman of the Federal Reserve, Arthur Burns, who were at the time challenged by “trying to learn how to conduct monetary policy in the aftermath of the collapse of the Bretton Woods global monetary system.”

    Nevertheless, the WIN buttons were a big deal, and the image invaded the popular culture. According to the blogger Rick Kaempfer, in a lunch meeting between President Ford and George Harrison (the Beatle, not George L. Harrison, the former President of the New York Fed!), the President gave the Beatle a WIN button, and George Harrison gave the President an OM (Hindu mantra word expressing creation) button.

    The “WIN” idea carried over to Ford’s run for President in 1975. At that time, there was a campaign button depicting the character Fonzie from “Happy Days,” with Gerald Ford’s face and wearing a “WIN” button with the slogan “Happy Days Are Here Again.”

    The image of the red button with the bold letters resurfaces in more modern discussions about inflation. In May 2003, Stephen Cecchetti (former Research Director of the New York Fed) wrote: “I‘m thinking of going out and having a bunch of new red and white WIN buttons made and handing them out to the people attending next Tuesday’s FOMC meeting.” One blogger in 2005 wrote that “Stop Inflation Now” would have been a better slogan (just changing the first letter on the button).

Disclaimer
The views expressed in this post are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the position of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York or the Federal Reserve System. Any errors or omissions are the responsibility of the author.

Comments

Feed You can follow this conversation by subscribing to the comment feed for this post.

We inverted the buttons, and the resulting “NIM”, we explained, meant “No Immediate Miracles”.

The comments to this entry are closed.

About the Blog

Liberty Street Economics features insight and analysis from New York Fed economists working at the intersection of research and policy. Launched in 2011, the blog takes its name from the Bank’s headquarters at 33 Liberty Street in Manhattan’s Financial District.

The editors are Michael Fleming, Andrew Haughwout, Thomas Klitgaard, and Asani Sarkar, all economists in the Bank’s Research Group.

Liberty Street Economics does not publish new posts during the blackout periods surrounding Federal Open Market Committee meetings.

The views expressed are those of the authors, and do not necessarily reflect the position of the New York Fed or the Federal Reserve System.

Economic Research Tracker

Image of NYFED Economic Research Tracker Icon Liberty Street Economics is available on the iPhone® and iPad® and can be customized by economic research topic or economist.

Economic Inequality

image of inequality icons for the Economic Inequality: A Research Series

This ongoing Liberty Street Economics series analyzes disparities in economic and policy outcomes by race, gender, age, region, income, and other factors.

Most Read this Year

Comment Guidelines

 

We encourage your comments and queries on our posts and will publish them (below the post) subject to the following guidelines:

Please be brief: Comments are limited to 1,500 characters.

Please be aware: Comments submitted shortly before or during the FOMC blackout may not be published until after the blackout.

Please be relevant: Comments are moderated and will not appear until they have been reviewed to ensure that they are substantive and clearly related to the topic of the post.

Please be respectful: We reserve the right not to post any comment, and will not post comments that are abusive, harassing, obscene, or commercial in nature. No notice will be given regarding whether a submission will or will
not be posted.‎

Comments with links: Please do not include any links in your comment, even if you feel the links will contribute to the discussion. Comments with links will not be posted.

Send Us Feedback

Disclosure Policy

The LSE editors ask authors submitting a post to the blog to confirm that they have no conflicts of interest as defined by the American Economic Association in its Disclosure Policy. If an author has sources of financial support or other interests that could be perceived as influencing the research presented in the post, we disclose that fact in a statement prepared by the author and appended to the author information at the end of the post. If the author has no such interests to disclose, no statement is provided. Note, however, that we do indicate in all cases if a data vendor or other party has a right to review a post.

Archives