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3 posts on "expansions"
February 12, 2020

Reading the Tea Leaves of the U.S. Business Cycle—Part Two

Richard Crump, Domenico Giannone, and David Lucca

New work by Richard Crump, Domenico Giannone, and David Lucca finds labor market data to be the most reliable information for dating the U.S. business cycle.

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Posted at 7:00 am in Labor Market, Macroeconomics, Recession, Unemployment | Permalink | Comments (1)
February 10, 2020

Reading the Tea Leaves of the U.S. Business Cycle—Part One

Richard Crump, Domenico Giannone, and David Lucca

Richard Crump, Domenico Giannone, and David Lucca discuss different conceptual approaches to dating the business cycle and study their past performance for the U.S. economy.

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Posted at 7:00 am in Labor Market, Macroeconomics, Recession | Permalink
March 27, 2012

Okun’s Law and Long Expansions

Economic forecasters frequently use a simple rule of thumb called Okun’s law to link their real GDP growth forecasts to their unemployment rate forecasts.

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Posted at 7:00 am in Forecasting, Labor Market, Macroeconomics, Unemployment | Permalink | Comments (1)

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