143 posts on "Inflation"
March 7, 2014
Crisis Chronicles: The Credit and Commercial Crisis of 1772
During the decade prior to 1772, Britain made the most of an expansion in colonial lands that required significant capital investment across the East and West Indies and North America.
February 20, 2014
Just Released: The Inflation Outlook in the Euro Zone . . . Survey Says
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its 2014:Q1 Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) on February 13.
Posted at 7:00 am in Euro Area, Forecasting, Inflation, International Economics, Macroeconomics | Permalink
February 7, 2014
Crisis Chronicles: The Commercial Credit Crisis of 1763 and Today’s Tri‑Party Repo Market
During the economic boom and credit expansion that followed the Seven Years’ War (1756-63), Berlin was the equivalent of an emerging market, Amsterdam’s merchant bankers were the primary sources of credit, and the Hamburg banking houses served as intermediaries between the two.
December 4, 2013
Introducing the FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations: Measuring Price Inflation Expectations
In this second of a series of four blog postings, we discuss the data on inflation expectations collected in our new FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE).
June 5, 2013
Drilling Down into Core Inflation: Goods versus Services
M. Henry Linder, Richard Peach, and Robert W. Rich Among the measures of core inflation used to monitor the inflation outlook, the series excluding food and energy prices is probably the best known and most closely followed by policymakers and the public. While the conventional “ex food and energy” measure is a composite of the price changes […]
February 25, 2013
The Macroeconomic Effects of Forward Guidance
In this post, we quantify the macroeconomic effects of central bank announcements about future federal funds rates, or forward guidance.
Posted at 7:00 am in DSGE, Expectations, Fed Funds, Forecasting, Inflation, Monetary Policy | Permalink | Comments (3)
January 14, 2013
China’s Impact on U.S. Inflation
U.S. import prices of consumer goods shipped from China have been moderating in recent quarters, following an upward surge of 11 percent between mid-2010 and the end of 2011.
Posted at 7:00 am in Exchange Rates, Exports, Inflation, International Economics, Macroeconomics | Permalink
November 5, 2012
Nudging Inflation Expectations: An Experiment
Managing consumers’ inflation expectations is of critical importance to central banks in the conduct of monetary policy.
July 13, 2012
Historical Echoes: Whip Inflation Now … and Then
In October I974, with consumer inflation running at more than 10 percent annually, President Gerald Ford gave a now famous speech in which he proclaimed: “There is only one point on which all advisers have agreed: We must whip inflation right now.”
May 11, 2012
Just Released: The New York Fed Staff Forecast—May 2012
We are presenting the New York Fed staff outlook for the U.S. economy to the New York Fed’s Economic Advisory Panel (EAP) at their meeting here today.
Posted at 10:30 am in Forecasting, Inflation, Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy, Unemployment | Permalink
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