Euro Area Inflation Expectations–Anchors Away?
Euro area inflation expectations have been falling at both short- >and long-term horizons, with the latter development suggesting the current low inflation environment is perceived as likely to persist.
Global Asset Prices and the Taper Tantrum Revisited
Global asset market developments during the summer of 2013 have been attributed to changes in the outlook for U.S. monetary policy, starting with former Chairman Bernanke’s May 22 comments concerning future curtailing of the Federal Reserve’s asset purchase programs.
Survey Measures of Expectations for the Policy Rate
Market prices provide timely information on policy expectations.
Direct Purchases of U.S. Treasury Securities by Federal Reserve Banks
Kenneth D. Garbade From time to time, and most recently in the April 2014 meeting of the Treasury Borrowing Advisory Committee, U.S. Treasury officials have questioned whether the Treasury should have a safety net that would allow it to continue to meet its obligations even in the event of an unforeseen depletion of its cash balances. […]
The FRBNY DSGE Model Forecast
The U.S. economy has been in a gradual but slow recovery. Will the future be more of the same?
Connecting “the Dots”: Disagreement in the Federal Open Market Committee
People disagree, and so do the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
An Assessment of the FRBNY DSGE Model’s Real‑Time Forecasts, 2010‑13
The previous post in this series showed how the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s DSGE model can be used to provide an interpretation of the Great Recession and the slow recovery.
Developing a Narrative: The Great Recession and Its Aftermath
The severe recession experienced by the U.S. economy between December 2007 and June 2009 has given way to a disappointing recovery.
A Bird’s Eye View of the FRBNY DSGE Model
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models provide a stylized representation of reality. As such, they do not attempt to model all the myriad relationships that characterize economies, focusing instead on the key interactions among critical economic actors.