129 posts from "2020"
March 27, 2020
Fight the Pandemic, Save the Economy: Lessons from the 1918 Flu
The COVID-19 outbreak has sparked urgent questions about the impact of pandemics, and the associated countermeasures, on the real economy. Policymakers are in uncharted territory, with little guidance on what the expected economic fallout will be and how the crisis should be managed. In this blog post, we use insights from a recent research paper to discuss two sets of questions. First, what are the real economic effects of a pandemic—and are these effects temporary or persistent? Second, how does the local public health response affect the economic severity of the pandemic? In particular, do non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) such as social distancing have economic costs, or do policies that slow the spread of the pandemic also reduce its economic severity?
Posted at 5:18 pm in Balance of Payments, Crisis, Economic History, Pandemic, Recession | Permalink | Comments (3)
March 4, 2020
How Does Credit Access Affect Job‑Search Outcomes and Sorting?
The analysis considers how access to consumer credit influences the job search behavior of displaced workers.
Searching for Higher Job Satisfaction
Using data from the New York Fed’s Survey of Consumer Expectations, these Liberty Street Economics authors document the heterogeneity in job satisfaction among U.S. workers and in their preferences for various nonwage benefits, and discuss the impact of these preferences on job search behavior.
Is the Tide Lifting All Boats? A Closer Look at the Earnings Growth Experiences of U.S. Workers
Although there is evidence that U.S. workers at the bottom of the earnings distribution may be catching up with those at the top, there are indications that returns to higher education may be increasing, with earnings growth for college graduates outpacing those with less education.
Women Have Been Hit Hard by the Loss of Routine Jobs, Too
Jaison Abel and Richard Deitz find that although both men and women have experienced a loss of routine jobs since 2000, the decline has been markedly steeper for women.
March 3, 2020
Introduction to Heterogeneity Series II: Labor Market Outcomes
Rajashri Chakrabarti introduces a new Liberty Street Economics series exploring dimensions of heterogeneity in the labor market experience of U.S. workers.
Posted at 7:00 am in Human Capital, Inequality, Labor Market, Regional Analysis, Unemployment | Permalink | Comments (2)
February 26, 2020
Did Subprime Borrowers Drive the Housing Boom?
The role of subprime mortgage lending in the U.S. housing boom of the 2000s is hotly debated in academic literature. One prevailing narrative ascribes the unprecedented home price growth during the mid-2000s to an expansion in mortgage lending to subprime borrowers. This post, based on our recent working paper, “Villains or Scapegoats? The Role of Subprime Borrowers in Driving the U.S. Housing Boom,” presents evidence that is inconsistent with conventional wisdom. In particular, we show that the housing boom and the subprime boom occurred in different places.
Posted at 7:00 am in Banks, Credit, Crisis, Household Finance, Housing, Recession | Permalink | Comments (8)
February 24, 2020
Understanding Heterogeneous Agent New Keynesian Models: Insights from a PRANK
To shed light on the macroeconomic consequences of heterogeneity, Acharya and Dogra develop a stylized HANK model that contains key features present in more complicated HANK models.
Posted at 7:00 am in Central Bank, Credit, Federal Reserve, Financial Institutions, Fiscal Policy, Inequality, Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy, Recession, Systemic Risk | Permalink
February 19, 2020
At the New York Fed: Fourteenth Annual Joint Conference with NYU‑Stern on Financial Intermediation
Blickle, Kovner, and Viswanathan share a synopsis of a recent conference featuring new research in financial intermediation and expert perspectives on corporate credit markets.
Posted at 7:00 am in Financial Intermediation | Permalink
February 13, 2020
Firm‑Level Shocks and GDP Growth: The Case of Boeing’s 737 MAX Production Pause
Events specific to large firms can have significant effects on the macroeconomy. The recent pause in Boeing’s 737 MAX production is a striking example of such an event or “shock.” This post provides a back-of-the envelope calculation of how the “737 MAX shock” could impact U.S. GDP growth in the first quarter of 2020.
Posted at 7:00 am in Macroeconomics | Permalink
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