Dealer Balance Sheet Capacity and Market Liquidity during the 2013 Selloff in Fixed‑Income Markets
Tobias Adrian, Michael J. Fleming, Jonathan E. Goldberg, Morgan Lewis, Fabio M. Natalucci, and Jason J. Wu Long-term interest rates hit record-low levels in 2012 but have since increased substantially. As discussed in an earlier post, the sharpest increase occurred between May 2 and July 5 of this year, with the ten-year Treasury yield rising from 1.63 percent […]
What’s News?
Linda S. Goldberg Economic news moves markets. Most analyses find that economic news is incorporated quickly (within minutes) into asset prices, with some measurable persistence of these effects, and with some spillovers across national borders. Some types of announcements—for example, U.S. nonfarm payrolls announcements—generate much larger asset price responses than others. Generally, news that is […]
Crisis Chronicles: Tulip Mania, 1633‑37
James Narron and David Skeie As Mike Dash notes in his well-researched and gripping Tulipomania, tulips are native to central Asia and arrived in the 1570s in what’s now Holland, primarily through the efforts of botanist Charles de L’Escluse, who classified and spread tulip bulbs among horticulturalists in the late 1500s and early 1600s. By […]
Information on Dealer Activity in Specific Treasury Issues Now Available
The New York Fed has long collected market information from its primary dealer trading counterparts and released these data in aggregated form to the public.
Creating a History of U.S. Inflation Expectations
Central bankers closely monitor inflation expectations because they’re an important determinant of actual inflation.
Are Higher Haircuts Better? A Paradox
Brian Begalle, Adam Copeland, Antoine Martin, Jamie McAndrews, and Susan McLaughlin Repurchase agreement (repo) markets played an important role in the 2007-09 financial crisis in the United States, and much discussion since then has focused on the role of repo haircuts. A repo is essentially a loan collateralized by securities. Typically, the value of the […]
The Recent Bond Market Selloff in Historical Perspective
Long-term Treasury yields have risen sharply in recent months.
Magnifying the Risk of Fire Sales in the Tri‑Party Repo Market
The fragility inherent in the tri-party repo market came to light during the 2008-09 financial crisis.
Are Stocks Cheap? A Review of the Evidence
We surveyed banks, we combed the academic literature, we asked economists at central banks.
Do Treasury Term Premia Rise around Monetary Tightenings?
Some commentators have expressed concern that Treasury yields might rise sharply once the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins to raise the federal funds rate (FFR), worrying, in particular, about a sudden increase in Treasury term premia.
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