Jason Bram and Richard Deitz The July 2014 Empire State Manufacturing Survey, released today, points to some notable strengthening in New York’s manufacturing sector. The survey’s headline general business conditions index and the new orders and shipments indexes all climbed to their highest levels in more than four years. The employment measure also moved up in […]
July 15, 2014
Just Released: July Empire State Manufacturing Survey Shows Strength
Posted at 8:45 am in Regional Analysis | Permalink
July 14, 2014
High Unemployment and Disinflation in the Euro Area Periphery Countries
Thomas Klitgaard and Richard Peck
Economists often model inflation as dependent on inflation expectations and the level of economic slack, with changes in expectations or slack leading to changes in the inflation rate. The global slowdown and the subsequent sovereign debt crisis caused the greatest divergence in unemployment rates among euro area member countries since the monetary union was founded in 1999. The pronounced differences in economic performances of euro area countries since 2008 should have led to significant differences in price behavior. That turned out to be the case, with a strong correlation evident between disinflation and labor market deterioration in euro area countries
July 11, 2014
Crisis Chronicles: The Collapse of the French Assignat and Its Link to Virtual Currencies Today
In the late 1700s, France ran a persistent deficit and by the late 1780s struggled with how to balance the budget and pay down the debt.
July 10, 2014
At the N.Y. Fed: Conference Highlights Financing Tools for New York’s Food and Beverage Firms
With more than 35,000 farms and $5.5 billion in annual sales, the agriculture industry is an important part of the New York State economy.
July 9, 2014
Lifting the Veil on the U.S. Bilateral Repo Market
The repurchase agreement (repo), a contract that closely resembles a collateralized loan, is widely used by financial institutions to lend to each other.
July 7, 2014
Why Hasn’t the Yen Depreciation Spurred Japanese Exports?
The Japanese yen depreciated 30 percent from its peak in the fourth quarter of 2011 against its trading partners.
June 27, 2014
Historical Echoes: The United States’ First Credit Union–Run Out of a Gentleman Lawyer’s Front Parlor
St. Mary’s Bank was the first credit union created in the United States, in Manchester, New Hampshire, in 1908.
June 26, 2014
From Our Archive: Student Debt in Perspective
The Editors We read with interest a new Brookings Institution report, Is a Student Loan Crisis on the Horizon?, assessing the weight of the student debt burden. It was also pleasing to see the New York Times, several of our Twitter followers, and others citing work on this blog in counterpoint.
June 25, 2014
Do Currency Forwards Say Anything about the Future Value of the U.S. Dollar?
J. Benson Durham Currency forwards do include useful information about the future value of the U.S. dollar, but any messages are hard to decipher without tools. Just as the yield curve reflects expected short rates as well as term premiums, foreign exchange forwards embed not only anticipated depreciation but also premiums for currency risk. This […]
June 23, 2014
The Capitol Since the Nineteenth Century: Political Polarization and Income Inequality in the United States
Even the most casual observer of American politics knows that today’s Republican and Democratic parties seem to disagree with one another on just about every issue under the sun
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