Our most recent Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit showed that although total household debt has increased somewhat since 2012, that growth has been driven almost entirely by nonhousing debt—credit cards, auto loans and student loans.
Look for our next post on June 20.
February 22, 2016
February 19, 2016
Did Third Avenue’s Liquidation Reduce Corporate Bond Market Liquidity?
Tobias Adrian, Michael J. Fleming, Erik Vogt, and Zachary Wojtowicz The announced liquidation of Third Avenue’s high-yield Focused Credit Fund (FCF) on December 9, 2015, drew widespread attention and reportedly sent ripples through asset markets. Events of this kind have the potential to increase the demand for market liquidity, as investors revise expectations, reassess risk […]
Quantifying Potential Spillovers from Runs on High‑Yield Funds
On December 9, 2015, Third Avenue Focused Credit Fund (FCF) announced a “Plan of Liquidation,” effectively halting investor redemptions.
Posted at 7:00 am in Corporate Finance, Financial Institutions, Financial Markets, Liquidity | Permalink | Comments (1)
February 18, 2016
Are Asset Managers Vulnerable to Fire Sales?
According to conventional wisdom, an open-ended investment fund that has a floating net asset value (NAV) and no leverage will never experience a run and hence never have to fire-sell assets.
February 17, 2016
High‑Frequency Cross‑Market Trading and Market Volatility
The close relationship between market volatility and trading activity is a long-established fact in financial markets.
February 16, 2016
The Workup, Technology, and Price Discovery in the Interdealer Market for U.S. Treasury Securities
The interdealer market for Treasury securities shares many features with other highly liquid markets that trade electronically using anonymous central limit order books.
February 12, 2016
Just Released: Household Debt Grew Slowly in 2015 as Mortgage Balances Stayed Flat
This morning, New York Fed President William Dudley spoke to the press about the growing resilience of the U.S. household sector. His speech was followed by a briefing by New York Fed economists on developments in household borrowing. Their presentation included a detailed decomposition on mortgage borrowing and payment trends, and some new research on how borrowing has evolved differently across age groups. Today, the New York Fed also released the Quarterly Report on Household Debt and Credit for the fourth quarter of 2015. The report, the press briefing, and the following analysis are all based on the New York Fed Consumer Credit Panel, which is itself based on consumer credit data from Equifax.
Primary Dealer Participation in the Secondary U.S. Treasury Market
Michael J. Fleming, Frank M. Keane, and Ernst Schaumburg The recent Joint Staff Report on October 15, 2014, exploring an episode of unprecedented volatility in the U.S. Treasury market, revealed that primary dealers no longer account for most trading volume on the interdealer brokerage (IDB) platforms. This shift is noteworthy because dealers contribute to long-term […]
February 11, 2016
Is Treasury Market Liquidity Becoming More Concentrated?
Michael Fleming In an earlier post, we showed that Treasury market liquidity appears reasonably good by historical standards. That analysis focused on the most liquid benchmark securities, largely because data availability is best for those securities. However, some studies, such as this one and this one, report that market liquidity is concentrating in the most […]
February 10, 2016
Further Analysis of Corporate Bond Market Liquidity
Tobias Adrian, Michael Fleming, Erik Vogt, and Zachary Wojtowicz Our earlier analyses from last October and earlier in this series looked at market liquidity measures averaged across all corporate bonds or broad sub-groups of corporate bonds. Commentators have pointed out that such broad averages might mask important differences among narrower sub-groups of bonds and that […]
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