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2 posts on "Oliver Zain Hannaoui"
May 29, 2024

Taking Stock: Dollar Assets, Gold, and Official Foreign Exchange Reserves

Editor's note: Since this post was first published the note on the final chart has been corrected to reflect that as depicted gold shares are calculated based on national valuation. (June 3, 2024, 9:00 am)
Close-up of a 20-dollar banknote (figuring president Jackson) and a gold bullion

Global central banks and finance ministries held nearly $12 trillion of foreign exchange reserves as of the end of 2023, with nearly $7 trillion composed of U.S. dollar assets. Nevertheless, a narrative has emerged that an observed decline in the share of dollar assets in official reserve portfolios represents the leading edge of the dollar’s loss of status in the international monetary system. Some market participants have similarly linked the apparent increase in official demand for gold in recent years to a desire to diversify away from the U.S. dollar. Drawing on recent research and analytics, this post questions these narratives, arguing that these observed aggregate trends largely reflect the behavior of a small number of countries and do not represent a widespread effort by central banks to diversify away from dollars.

November 14, 2023

Flood Risk and Firm Location Decisions in the Fed’s Second District

Photo of long island restaurant near the ocean and bay with people having food and cocktails.

The intensity, duration, and frequency of flooding have increased over the past few decades. According to the Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA), 99 percent of U.S. counties have been impacted by a flooding event since 1999. As the frequency of flood events continues to increase, the number of people, buildings, and agriculture exposed to flood risk is only likely to grow. As a previous post points out, measuring the geographical accuracy of such risk is important and may impact bank lending. In this post, we focus on the distribution of flood risk within the Federal Reserve’s Second District and examine its effect on establishment location decisions over the last two decades.

Posted at 7:00 am in Climate Change | Permalink
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