138 posts on "Inflation"
September 8, 2014
Introducing the SCE Housing Survey
In February 2014, we administered a survey on housing-related issues to the Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE) panelists.
July 14, 2014
High Unemployment and Disinflation in the Euro Area Periphery Countries
Thomas Klitgaard and Richard Peck
Economists often model inflation as dependent on inflation expectations and the level of economic slack, with changes in expectations or slack leading to changes in the inflation rate. The global slowdown and the subsequent sovereign debt crisis caused the greatest divergence in unemployment rates among euro area member countries since the monetary union was founded in 1999. The pronounced differences in economic performances of euro area countries since 2008 should have led to significant differences in price behavior. That turned out to be the case, with a strong correlation evident between disinflation and labor market deterioration in euro area countries
June 6, 2014
Crisis Chronicles: Canal Mania (1793)
Today, a leisurely trip down a canal on a quiet Sunday afternoon is a reminder of an unhurried time away from the hectic pace of modern commerce.
May 16, 2014
Just Released: The New York Fed Staff Forecast—May 2014
Today, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York (FRBNY) is hosting the spring meeting of its Economic Advisory Panel (EAP).
Posted at 10:30 am in Exports, Forecasting, Inflation, Macroeconomics, Unemployment | Permalink | Comments (1)
April 11, 2014
Crisis Chronicles: Not Worth a Continental—The Currency Crisis of 1779 and Today’s European Debt Crisis
During the late 1770s, a newly founded United States began to run up significant debts to finance the American Revolution.
March 7, 2014
Crisis Chronicles: The Credit and Commercial Crisis of 1772
During the decade prior to 1772, Britain made the most of an expansion in colonial lands that required significant capital investment across the East and West Indies and North America.
February 20, 2014
Just Released: The Inflation Outlook in the Euro Zone . . . Survey Says
The European Central Bank (ECB) released its 2014:Q1 Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) on February 13.
Posted at 7:00 am in Euro Area, Forecasting, Inflation, International Economics, Macroeconomics | Permalink
February 7, 2014
Crisis Chronicles: The Commercial Credit Crisis of 1763 and Today’s Tri‑Party Repo Market
During the economic boom and credit expansion that followed the Seven Years’ War (1756-63), Berlin was the equivalent of an emerging market, Amsterdam’s merchant bankers were the primary sources of credit, and the Hamburg banking houses served as intermediaries between the two.
December 4, 2013
Introducing the FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations: Measuring Price Inflation Expectations
In this second of a series of four blog postings, we discuss the data on inflation expectations collected in our new FRBNY Survey of Consumer Expectations (SCE).
June 5, 2013
Drilling Down into Core Inflation: Goods versus Services
M. Henry Linder, Richard Peach, and Robert W. Rich Among the measures of core inflation used to monitor the inflation outlook, the series excluding food and energy prices is probably the best known and most closely followed by policymakers and the public. While the conventional “ex food and energy” measure is a composite of the price changes […]
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