Jason Bram and Matthew Ploenzke Update: We broadened our definition of Silicon Valley and present more complete data on that region’s trends in the comments section of this post. In the body of the piece, we also corrected the NAICS code for Scientific R&D Services. For at least the past few decades, New York City’s […]
Did the West Coast Port Dispute Contribute to the First‑Quarter GDP Slowdown?
Mary Amiti, Tyler Bodine-Smith, Michele Cavallo, and Logan T. Lewis The decline in U.S. GDP of 0.2 percent in the first quarter of 2015 was much larger than market analysts expected, with net exports subtracting a staggering 1.9 percentage points (seasonally adjusted annualized rate). A range of factors is being discussed in policy circles to […]
What Do Bond Markets Think about “Too‑Big‑to‑Fail” Since Dodd‑Frank?
As we discussed in our post on Monday, the Dodd-Frank Act includes provisions to address whether banks remain “too big to fail.”
From the Vault: Gauging Treasury Market Liquidity
A review of recent work on Liberty Street Economics examining liquidity in the U.S. Treasury market
Falling Oil Prices and Global Saving
The rise in oil prices from near $30 per barrel in 2000 to around $110 per barrel in mid-2014 was a dramatic reallocation of global income to oil producers.
Just Released: U.S. Economy in a Snapshot
The Research Group at the New York Fed would like to announce the publication of US Economy in a Snapshot[RR1] .
Becoming a Large Bank? It’s Not Easy
Rajlakshmi De and Hamid Mehran Size is usually seen as the leading indication of the costs that a bank failure would impose on society. As a result, the Dodd-Frank Act of 2010 requires banks to have adequate capital and liquidity to mitigate default risk and imposes additional requirements on larger banks to enhance their safety. […]
The Myth of First‑Quarter Residual Seasonality
The current policy debate is influenced by the possibility that the first-quarter GDP data were affected by “residual seasonality.”
Is Cheaper Oil Good News or Bad News for U.S. Economy?
Oil prices have declined substantially since the summer of 2014.

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