3 posts on "current account balance"
October 14, 2026
Has the AI Boom Impacted the U.S. Current Account?
The AI boom is showing up in different corners of the U.S. economy, including international trade. Imports of semiconductors, servers, and computing equipment have climbed sharply yet the U.S. current account deficit has been largely unchanged. To better understand how the AI boom has not substantially affected the trade balance, consider that the current account is dictated by the gap between domestic saving and investment spending. It turns out that aggregate saving and investment spending have not changed much during the AI boom. Aggregate investment has not risen due to weakness outside the AI sector and business saving has remained robust.
Posted at 7:00 am in Artificial Intelligence (AI), International Economics, Macroeconomics | Permalink | Comments (0)
October 17, 2022
What Is the Outlook for China’s External Surplus?
The sharp slowdown in China’s property sector has reignited debate over the country’s future role as a net provider of savings to the global economy. The debate revolves around whether a sustained decline in property investment will spur a long-term increase in China’s current account surplus, given the country’s high savings rate. However, China’s rapidly aging population presents opposing forces that complicate this story. The shift of a large share of its population from working life to retirement will reduce savings supply even as a shrinking labor force will reduce investment demand. In this post, we focus on the demographic part of the story and find that this force will exert considerable downward pressure on China’s current account surplus in coming years.
May 2, 2012
Euro Area Spending Imbalances and the Sovereign Debt Crisis
Euro area periphery countries were borrowing heavily from abroad in the run-up to the sovereign debt crisis.
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