260 posts on "Macroeconomics"
October 24, 2014
At the N.Y. Fed: Macroeconomic Policy Mix in the Transatlantic Economy
The reasons why the macroeconomic policy mix has been different on the two sides of the Atlantic in recent years remain a hotly debated issue.
October 8, 2014
Demographic Trends and Growth in Japan and the United States
Japan’s population is shrinking and getting older, with the population falling at a 0.2 percent rate this year, and the working-age population (ages 16 to 64), falling at a much faster rate of almost 1.5 percent.
Posted at 7:00 am in International Economics, Labor Market, Macroeconomics | Permalink | Comments (1)
September 30, 2014
Do Unemployment Benefits Expirations Help Explain the Surge in Job Openings?
Job openings are arguably one of the most important indicators of recovery in the labor market, as they reflect employers’ willingness to hire.
September 26, 2014
The FRBNY DSGE Model Forecast
The U.S. economy has been in a gradual but slow recovery. Will the future be more of the same?
Posted at 10:00 am in DSGE, Fed Funds, Forecasting, Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy | Permalink | Comments (3)
September 25, 2014
Connecting “the Dots”: Disagreement in the Federal Open Market Committee
People disagree, and so do the members of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC).
An Assessment of the FRBNY DSGE Model’s Real‑Time Forecasts, 2010‑13
The previous post in this series showed how the Federal Reserve Bank of New York’s DSGE model can be used to provide an interpretation of the Great Recession and the slow recovery.
September 24, 2014
Developing a Narrative: The Great Recession and Its Aftermath
The severe recession experienced by the U.S. economy between December 2007 and June 2009 has given way to a disappointing recovery.
Posted at 7:00 am in DSGE, Forecasting, Macroeconomics, Monetary Policy, Recession | Permalink | Comments (5)
September 23, 2014
A Bird’s Eye View of the FRBNY DSGE Model
Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models provide a stylized representation of reality. As such, they do not attempt to model all the myriad relationships that characterize economies, focusing instead on the key interactions among critical economic actors.
September 22, 2014
Forecasting with the FRBNY DSGE Model
The term DSGE, which stands for dynamic stochastic general equilibrium, encompasses a very broad class of macro models, from the standard real business cycle (RBC) model of Nobel prizewinners Kydland and Prescott to New Keynesian monetary models like the one of Christiano, Eichenbaum, and Evans.
August 20, 2014
The Declining U.S. Reliance on Foreign Investors
The United States has been borrowing from the rest of the world since the mid-1980s.
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