257 posts on "Macroeconomics"
October 7, 2013
What’s News?
Linda S. Goldberg Economic news moves markets. Most analyses find that economic news is incorporated quickly (within minutes) into asset prices, with some measurable persistence of these effects, and with some spillovers across national borders. Some types of announcements—for example, U.S. nonfarm payrolls announcements—generate much larger asset price responses than others. Generally, news that is […]
September 9, 2013
Preparing for Takeoff? Professional Forecasters and the June 2013 FOMC Meeting
Following the June 18-19 Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC) meeting different measures of short-term interest rates
increased notably.
September 4, 2013
Consumer Confidence: A Useful Indicator of . . . the Labor Market?
Consumer confidence is closely monitored by policymakers and commentators because of the presumed insight it can offer into the outlook for consumer spending and thus the economy in general.
August 21, 2013
Creating a History of U.S. Inflation Expectations
Central bankers closely monitor inflation expectations because they’re an important determinant of actual inflation.
July 8, 2013
Do Bank Shocks Affect Aggregate Investment?
Traditionally, we have thought of the fates of specific banks as perhaps symptomatic of problems in the financial market but not as causal determinants of fluctuations in aggregate investment and other real economic activity.
June 5, 2013
Drilling Down into Core Inflation: Goods versus Services
M. Henry Linder, Richard Peach, and Robert W. Rich Among the measures of core inflation used to monitor the inflation outlook, the series excluding food and energy prices is probably the best known and most closely followed by policymakers and the public. While the conventional “ex food and energy” measure is a composite of the price changes […]
May 23, 2013
Just Released: The New York Fed Staff Forecast—May 2013
Jonathan McCarthy and Richard Peach As we did last year around this time, we’re presenting the New York Fed staff outlook for the U.S. economy to the Bank’s Economic Advisory Panel at today’s meeting. It provides an opportunity to get valuable feedback from leading economists in academia and the private sector on the staff forecast; such feedback […]
May 13, 2013
Capital Controls, Currency Wars, and International Cooperation
The debate over whether there’s a case for limiting capital flows has intensified recently—both in media and academic forums.
April 22, 2013
The Effect of Superstorm Sandy on the Macroeconomy
The Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) of the U.S. Department of Commerce has reported that real Gross Domestic Product (GDP) increased at a very sluggish 0.4 percent annual rate in the final quarter of 2012.
April 15, 2013
Do Treasury Term Premia Rise around Monetary Tightenings?
Some commentators have expressed concern that Treasury yields might rise sharply once the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) begins to raise the federal funds rate (FFR), worrying, in particular, about a sudden increase in Treasury term premia.
Posted at 7:00 am in Expectations, Financial Markets, Forecasting, Macroeconomics, Unemployment | Permalink
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