260 posts on "Macroeconomics"
November 27, 2013
Has the Fed Stabilized the Price Level?
Marc P. Giannoni and Hannah Herman The Federal Reserve Reform Act of 1977 established the monetary policy objectives of maximum employment, stable prices, and moderate long-term interest rates. The goal of “stable prices” has long been understood to mean a low positive inflation rate. On January 25, 2012, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) explicitly […]
November 18, 2013
Yen and Yang: The Response of the Nikkei to the Yen
To what extent are Japanese equities driven by changes in the value of the yen?
Posted at 7:00 am in Exchange Rates, Exports, International Economics, Macroeconomics | Permalink | Comments (2)
November 13, 2013
On the Design of Monetary and Macroprudential Policies
The financial crisis, recession, and slow recovery have emphasized the interactions between financial markets and the real economy.
October 7, 2013
What’s News?
Linda S. Goldberg Economic news moves markets. Most analyses find that economic news is incorporated quickly (within minutes) into asset prices, with some measurable persistence of these effects, and with some spillovers across national borders. Some types of announcements—for example, U.S. nonfarm payrolls announcements—generate much larger asset price responses than others. Generally, news that is […]
September 9, 2013
Preparing for Takeoff? Professional Forecasters and the June 2013 FOMC Meeting
Following the June 18-19 Federal Open Market
Committee (FOMC) meeting different measures of short-term interest rates
increased notably.
September 4, 2013
Consumer Confidence: A Useful Indicator of . . . the Labor Market?
Consumer confidence is closely monitored by policymakers and commentators because of the presumed insight it can offer into the outlook for consumer spending and thus the economy in general.
August 21, 2013
Creating a History of U.S. Inflation Expectations
Central bankers closely monitor inflation expectations because they’re an important determinant of actual inflation.
July 8, 2013
Do Bank Shocks Affect Aggregate Investment?
Traditionally, we have thought of the fates of specific banks as perhaps symptomatic of problems in the financial market but not as causal determinants of fluctuations in aggregate investment and other real economic activity.
June 5, 2013
Drilling Down into Core Inflation: Goods versus Services
M. Henry Linder, Richard Peach, and Robert W. Rich Among the measures of core inflation used to monitor the inflation outlook, the series excluding food and energy prices is probably the best known and most closely followed by policymakers and the public. While the conventional “ex food and energy” measure is a composite of the price changes […]
May 23, 2013
Just Released: The New York Fed Staff Forecast—May 2013
Jonathan McCarthy and Richard Peach As we did last year around this time, we’re presenting the New York Fed staff outlook for the U.S. economy to the Bank’s Economic Advisory Panel at today’s meeting. It provides an opportunity to get valuable feedback from leading economists in academia and the private sector on the staff forecast; such feedback […]
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